BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Afton East Union

Class: 8 Class Rank: 22 Conference: (6-2) Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength =   79.63

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/22/2008 Away    W    59.79  44    0    8   60 ( 0- 9) Moravia               -17.09 *   61.09  non-district        
  2 08/29/2008 Home    W    68.56   8    0    8   37 ( 4- 6) Villisca               -8.32     16.32  non-district        
  3 09/05/2008 Away    W    82.05  49    0    8   53 ( 1- 8) South Page              5.18 *   43.82  non-district        
  4 09/12/2008 Home    W *  69.93  44    0    8   54 ( 1- 9) Mormon Trail           -6.95 *   50.95                      
  5 09/19/2008 Away    W *  73.69  49   20    8   48 ( 4- 5) Murray                 -3.18 *   32.18                      
  6 09/26/2008 Home    W *  81.28  48   17    8   45 ( 5- 5) Ankeny Christian        4.41     26.59                      
  7 10/03/2008 Away    W *  84.73  43   38    8   25 ( 8- 3) Lamoni                  7.85     -2.85                      
  8 10/17/2008 Away    W *  66.63  32   13    8   44 ( 2- 7) DM Grandview Park     -10.25     29.25                      
  9 10/24/2008 Away    L *  85.03  12   22    8    5 (13- 1) Lenox                   8.15    -18.15                      
 10 10/29/2008 Away    W    85.11  61   42    8   38 ( 7- 3) Melcher-Dallas          8.23     10.77                      
 11 11/03/2008 Home    W *  96.69  38   18    8   25 ( 8- 3) Lamoni                 19.82      0.18                      
 12 11/07/2008 Away    L *  69.03   6   32    8    5 (13- 1) Lenox                  -7.85    -18.15                      
      Averages              76.88  36.2 16.8

Best game:   96.69 = 20 point win over Lamoni
Worst game:  59.79 = 44 point win over Moravia
Team stdev:  10.54